Geoeconomic Strategy Unit

Researching risk. Mapping markets.

A practitioner-led intelligence and advisory firm helping executives navigate geopolitical risk, identify opportunities, and make confident decisions in an uncertain world.

Who We Are

The Geoeconomic Strategy Unit is a practitioner-led, research-driven firm that translates the complexity of geopolitics and global economics into clear, actionable intelligence for business leaders.

We combine on-the-ground insight, policy analysis, and strategic experience to deliver clear and actionable insights to help you decide where to deploy capital, how to structure business models, and when to exercise strategic patience.

Our Mission

To improve capital mobility and unlock cross-border growth by highlighting risks, aligning incentives, and sequencing action across high-growth trade corridors.

We draw on long-standing relationships with ministries, investors, media, and corporations to translate analysis into financing structures and risk-mitigation strategies.

Flagship Research

Geoeconomic Risk Barometer

Mapping the next moves of capital and power.

The Barometer provides a decision-grade overview of where execution is most feasible in the near and medium term. It blends hard indicators with regional insights and corridor-level analysis.

Central to the framework is our Risk-Adjusted Opportunity (RAO) score — a concise tool underpinning our country briefs, triggers-to-watch, and strategic outlook. Published quarterly, with interim updates when conditions materially shift.


Why Leaders Read It

Analysis grounded in regional realities with a clear line of sight to boardrooms in high-growth regions and beyond.

  • Quarterly Publication
  • Interim Updates on Market Shifts
  • Decision-Grade Data

How We Work With You

Engagement Models

Insight Packages

Structured intelligence to keep your leadership informed as conditions shift and opportunities open.

  • Quarterly Risk Barometer
  • Country Briefs
  • Corridor views & "triggers to watch"
  • Interim alerts on material changes

Strategic Advisory

Direct engagement with your leadership team to translate intelligence into concrete decisions and governance steps.

  • C-suite and board briefings
  • Market entry & expansion playbooks
  • Scenario workshops and offsites
  • Risk-mitigation design

Commissioned Research

Bespoke deep-dives for specific deals, corridors, or investment decisions.

  • Pre-deal market insights
  • Early-warning checks
  • Sequencing decisions & investments
  • Structural resilience planning

Our Engine

The Automated RAO Framework

A proprietary quantitative tool that gives you a real-time view of investment potential across global markets. Drawing on large language models, we continuously process economic signals to deliver Risk-Adjusted Opportunity scores on demand.

The 60/40 Weighting

Our proprietary algorithm balances two competing forces to calculate a composite RAO score (0-10):

  • 60% Opportunity
    Analyzes GDP growth, trade balances, policy incentives, and market entry feasibility.
  • 40% Fragility
    Weighs sovereign spreads, currency volatility, conflict risks, and regulatory shifts.

Bespoke Sector Analysis

Beyond country-level data, our system allows for on-demand, sector-specific scoring. Whether you are in Fintech, Renewable Energy, or Mining, we filter data to isolate the regulatory environments and supply chain risks that matter specifically to your industry.

View RAO Heatmap
1. Global Data Ingestion

Continuous monitoring of World Bank data, Central Bank feeds, and global news outlets.

2. LLM Analysis Engine

AI evaluates data against Opportunity & Fragility variables to identify material changes.

3. Dynamic Scoring

Calculation of updated RAO scores using our weighted 60/40 methodology.

4. Analyst Quality Control

Significant score movements trigger a mandatory review by our human experts to ensure accuracy.

Latest Insights

Expert analysis and strategic outlooks from the Geoeconomic Strategy Unit.

Strategic Briefs

Video Intelligence

Our Team

How We Work

We start with analysis; we finish with decisions.

01

Field-Informed Analysis

Signals from ministries, regulators, financiers, and our regional network across high-growth markets.

02

Quantitative Assessments

Risk-Adjusted Opportunity scores blend market opportunity with on-the-ground stability.

03

Scenario Design

Planning for best, base, and worst case scenarios tied to concrete triggers (elections, policy moves).

04

Decision Support

Converting intelligence into clear strategies and governance steps, calibrated to your time horizon and risk appetite.

Our Deliverables

We prioritize business-relevant insights over academic jargon and complex narratives.

  • Stakeholder mapping and engagement strategies
  • Structural resilience built into your risk framework
  • Actionable playbooks for recurring risk patterns
  • Supply chain analysis grounded in real-world data

Our Clients

We are trusted by leaders across industries to navigate complexity.