Geoeconomic Strategy Unit

Researching power. Mapping markets.

A practitioner-led intelligence and advisory platform guiding decision-making on critical issues in today’s volatile business environment.

Who We Are

The Geoeconomic Strategy Unit is a practitioner-led, research-driven initiative built by a team of seasoned analysts and thinkers to make geopolitics and global economics approachable in the boardroom.

We combine on-the-ground insight, policy analysis, and strategic experience to deliver clear and actionable insights to help you decide where to deploy capital, how to structure business models, and when to exercise strategic patience.

Our Mission

To improve capital mobility and unlock cross-border growth by highlighting risks, aligning incentives, and sequencing action across high-growth trade corridors.

We leverage our network involving long-standing relationships with critical stakeholders, ministries, investors, the media, and corporates, to translate analysis into financing structures and risk-mitigation design.

Flagship Research

Geoeconomic Risk Barometer

Mapping the next moves of capital and power.

The Barometer provides a decision-grade overview of where execution is most feasible in the near and medium term. It blends hard indicators with regional insights and corridor-level analysis to drive decision-making at the highest levels.

Among its tools is a concise Risk-Adjusted Opportunity (RAO) score that supports our country briefs, triggers to watch, and strategic outlook. We publish quarterly with interim updates when conditions change.


Download Quarterly Report (PDF)

Why Leaders Read It

Analysis grounded in regional realities with a clear line of sight to boardrooms in high-growth regions and beyond.

  • Quarterly Publication
  • Interim Updates on Market Shifts
  • Decision-Grade Data

How We Work With You

Engagement Models

Insight Packages

Quarterly overview of where execution is most feasible in the near and medium term.

  • Quarterly Risk Barometer
  • Country Briefs
  • Corridor views & "triggers to watch"
  • Interim alerts on material changes

Strategic Advisory

Direct engagement with your leadership to translate insights into governance steps.

  • C-suite and board briefings
  • Market entry & expansion playbooks
  • Scenario workshops and offsites
  • Risk-mitigation design

Commissioned Research

Bespoke deep-dives for specific deals, corridors, or investment decisions.

  • Pre-deal market insights
  • Early-warning checks
  • Sequencing decisions & investments
  • Structural resilience planning

Our Engine

The Automated RAO Framework

A quantitative analytical tool designed to understand investment potential around the world at a glance. By leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs), we process global economic signals to deliver Risk-Adjusted Opportunity scores in real-time.

The 60/40 Weighting

Our proprietary algorithm balances two competing forces to calculate a composite RAO score (0-10):

  • 60% Opportunity
    Analyzes GDP growth, trade balances, policy incentives, and market entry feasibility.
  • 40% Fragility
    Weighs sovereign spreads, currency volatility, conflict risks, and regulatory shifts.

Bespoke Sector Analysis

Beyond country-level data, our system allows for on-demand, sector-specific scoring. Whether you are in Fintech, Renewable Energy, or Mining, we filter data to isolate the regulatory environments and supply chain risks that matter specifically to your industry.

View RAO Heatmap
1. Global Data Ingestion

Continuous monitoring of World Bank data, Central Bank feeds, and global news outlets.

2. LLM Analysis Engine

AI evaluates data against Opportunity & Fragility variables to identify material changes.

3. Dynamic Scoring

Calculation of updated RAO scores using our weighted 60/40 methodology.

4. Analyst Quality Control

Significant score movements trigger a mandatory review by our human experts to ensure accuracy.

Latest Insights

Expert analysis and strategic outlooks from the Geoeconomic Strategy Unit.

Strategic Briefs

Video Intelligence

Our Team

How We Work

We start with analysis; we finish with decisions.

01

Field-Informed Analysis

Signals from ministries, regulators, financiers, and our regional network across high-growth markets.

02

Quantitative Assessments

Risk-Adjusted Opportunity scores blend market opportunity with on-the-ground stability.

03

Scenario Design

Planning for best, base, and worst case scenarios tied to concrete triggers (elections, policy moves).

04

Decision Support

Converting intelligence into strategies and governance steps for varying time horizons.

Our Deliverables

We prioritize business-relevant insights over academic jargon and complex narratives.

  • Effective stakeholder mapping and engagement strategies
  • Built-in structural resilience to emerging risks
  • Actionable playbooks for recurring risk patterns
  • Data-driven analysis optimizing supply chains

Our Clients

We are trusted by leaders across industries to navigate complexity.